At a Glance
- Tasks: Create political reports and forecasts based on real-time analysis of elections and polling.
- Company: Join a forward-thinking team focused on political risk analysis and AI model improvement.
- Benefits: Earn up to $200/hr with fully remote flexibility and opportunities for professional growth.
- Other info: Ideal for those passionate about politics and data-driven insights.
- Why this job: Make impactful decisions in the political landscape while working from anywhere.
- Qualifications: 8+ years in political analysis with hands-on experience in US races.
The predicted salary is between 63000 - 77000 $ per year.
About the work
We are building expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models on real political and financial analysis. Each task asks a practitioner to reason from a fixed evidence cutoff — no hindsight — and document the judgment a strong analyst would have made at that moment. This role covers political report authorship: elections, polling, and political-risk events.
What you will do
- Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff
- Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds
- Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact
- Review model-generated analyses and grade them against your own standard
Who we are looking for
- Local political analysts with hands-on experience on specific races in swing states: current or upcoming Senate, governor, or statewide contests, or recent cycles in the same state
- On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, the candidates, and the local political environment, from roles such as university political scientist, state or regional pollster, state-level campaign or party analytics staff, or state political-risk analyst
- A record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in those races — not retrospective commentary
- Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis
- Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance
Backgrounds we look at first: political science departments and survey research centers at universities in the target states, state and regional pollsters, state-level campaign and party analytics teams, and decision desks or race-ratings outlets with state-specific coverage. National forecasting or political-risk experience is welcome when paired with deep knowledge of a specific state. Brand-name experience is a strong first-pass signal but is not a hard requirement — direct experience and performance on the work sample determine who qualifies.
Not a fit
- Profiles whose experience is mainly international politics, geopolitics, or country risk, with little or no work on US races
- Analysts who have not worked on a current or recent US race in the state they would cover
- Pure communications or journalism profiles without demonstrated forecasting, polling, or probabilistic judgment
- Academic profiles whose work is purely theoretical, with no analysis of live races
Point-in-time discipline
Every task is graded on reasoning from the stated cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information.
Political Risk Analyst – Remote in Toronto employer: Mercor
Mercor is an exceptional employer that fosters a dynamic and innovative work culture, connecting top-tier talent with leading AI research labs. With the flexibility of remote work, employees enjoy a supportive environment that encourages professional growth and collaboration across diverse teams. The competitive compensation and the opportunity to engage in high-impact projects make Mercor a rewarding place for legal experts looking to make a meaningful contribution.
